Vilavelhense vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
REA
2 - 1
VFC
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VFC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RVV
1 - 1
VFC
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 0
VFC
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 3
SER
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
NVE
1 - 1
JAG
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
2 - 2
NVE
10%
16%
73%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NVE
1 - 0
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
NVE
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 2
RIO
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |