UE Vilassar de Mar vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
18º
11º
21
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
21 | 67 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 62 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 57 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 48 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 45 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 43 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 41 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 39 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 38 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 37 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 31 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 26 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Vilassar de Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CER
0 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
CFR
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 1
VIL
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
SCR
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
EUR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
TON
13%
16%
70%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TON
0 - 0
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
5 - 1
TON
28%
22%
51%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
TON
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |