Vilafranquense vs Atletico Tojal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POV
0 - 4
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
PER
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Tojal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOJ
3 - 3
IRI
74%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MON
3 - 3
TOJ
16%
20%
65%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOJ
2 - 0
COU
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
TOJ
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
REA
3 - 2
TOJ
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |