Vila Nova vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
RIO
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 2
VIL
36%
24%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
ANA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
APA
5 - 0
VIL
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
CIA
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
2 - 1
GRÊ
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 0
GRÊ
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRÊ
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |