Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
DUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
GOI
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
DUQ
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |