Vila Nova vs Anápolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
PPE
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIL
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Anápolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 1
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 0
ANA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 0
ATL
7%
17%
76%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
APA
1 - 3
ANA
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 2
ANA
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |