Vila Fria vs Perre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Fria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 3
VFR
48%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 2
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
VFR
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VFR
1 - 0
COU
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
VFR
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
PAC
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
PER
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 0
CAM
39%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
PER
73%
16%
11%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +1 |