Viktoria Köln vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VIK
0 - 0
WAT
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
AAA
0 - 0
VIK
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VIK
1 - 1
HAN
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
RWL
1 - 1
VIK
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VIK
3 - 2
ROT
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
PRE
1 - 0
DSC
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
STP
1 - 0
PRE
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
PRE
4 - 0
WUP
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
OSN
0 - 2
PRE
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
PRE
2 - 0
HOL
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |