Viktoria Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
VIK
1 - 3
BYM
16%
17%
68%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
DSC
3 - 3
VIK
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
VIK
1 - 1
USO
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
AHA
1 - 3
VIK
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
VIK
3 - 1
HOL
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
TXA
1 - 8
ARB
17%
19%
63%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
ARB
5 - 0
RWL
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
HAN
2 - 2
ARB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
ARB
2 - 1
PRE
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
ROT
1 - 0
ARB
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |