Oberliga Hessenliga Jor. 14

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Marburg analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Marburg
35 ELO 33
17% Tilt 3.5%
5201º General ELO ranking 11017º
174º Country ELO ranking 549º
ELO win probability
63.3%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
19.3%
Draw
17.4%
Marburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
Marburg
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-29%
-9%
Marburg

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Marburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2000
CFR
Croatia Frankfurt
1 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
23%
24%
53%
37 21 16 0
07 Oct. 2000
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 4
Erzhausen
ERZ
78%
14%
8%
38 24 14 -1
01 Oct. 2000
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt II
2 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
44%
25%
30%
39 37 2 -1
23 Sep. 2000
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
4 - 1
Lohfelden
LOH
76%
15%
9%
39 25 14 0
16 Sep. 2000
SGW
SG Walluf
0 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
15%
22%
63%
40 16 24 -1

Matches

Marburg
Marburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2000
MAR
Marburg
6 - 1
KSV Baunatal
BAU
22%
23%
56%
25 44 19 0
08 Oct. 2000
SCN
SC Neukirchen
3 - 4
Marburg
MAR
74%
15%
10%
24 36 12 +1
30 Sep. 2000
MAR
Marburg
4 - 1
Klein-Karben
KKA
21%
24%
55%
20 37 17 +4
23 Sep. 2000
MAR
Marburg
2 - 4
Vellmar
VEL
51%
24%
25%
21 20 1 -1
17 Sep. 2000
CFR
Croatia Frankfurt
5 - 1
Marburg
MAR
48%
24%
28%
22 21 1 -1
X