Oberliga Mittelrhein round 18

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler vs Hürth analysis

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler Hürth
18 ELO 21
6.9% Tilt 6.6%
12490º General ELO ranking 8514º
700º Country ELO ranking 350º
ELO win probability
36%
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
22.6%
Draw
41.4%
Hürth

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.4%
Win probability
Hürth
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
-5%
+21%
Hürth

Points and table prediction

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Their league position
Hürth
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
14º
16º
16º
34
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hennef 05
68
68
100%
Wegberg-Beeck
65
65
100%
VfL Vichttal
61
61
100%
Bonner SC
56
56
100%
Eintracht Hohkeppel
51
51
100%
Bergisch Gladbach
50
50
100%
SpVgg Frechen
39
40
55%
Borussia Freialdenhoven
37
38
55%
Konigsdorf
13º
31
34
77%
Hürth
34
34
10º
77%
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
10º
33
33
11º
77%
SC Fortuna Köln II
11º
32
32
12º
12.5%
Siegburger SV 04
12º
32
32
13º
0%
FC BW Friesdorf
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Pesch
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Hürth
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Hürth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
SVE
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 - 0
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
VIA
74%
15%
12%
18 26 8 0
05 Mar. 2023
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
1 - 2
Wegberg-Beeck
WEG
16%
20%
63%
18 34 16 0
04 Dec. 2022
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
3 - 2
Konigsdorf
KON
18%
18%
64%
17 26 9 +1
27 Nov. 2022
BFR
Borussia Freialdenhoven
0 - 0
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
VIA
71%
16%
12%
16 25 9 +1
13 Nov. 2022
VIA
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
2 - 1
Siegburger SV 04
SIE
25%
22%
53%
15 22 7 +1

Matches

Hürth
Hürth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
HUR
Hürth
1 - 6
Hennef 05
H05
14%
19%
67%
22 35 13 0
03 Mar. 2023
BSC
Bonner SC
4 - 1
Hürth
HUR
72%
16%
12%
22 34 12 0
01 Feb. 2023
HUR
Hürth
2 - 1
Ahrweiler
ABC
58%
22%
20%
22 15 7 0
04 Dec. 2022
HUR
Hürth
2 - 0
Pesch
PES
61%
21%
18%
21 15 6 +1
27 Nov. 2022
SVE
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 - 1
Hürth
HUR
61%
19%
20%
22 26 4 -1