Viking Stavanger vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
30
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 60 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 27 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
7% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 4
VKG
9%
15%
75%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ODD
3 - 3
VKG
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
TIL
3 - 4
VKG
3%
7%
91%
|
79 | 7 | 72 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 1
FFK
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 1
BBS
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
VIF
1 - 0
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 3
S08
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 6
TRO
9%
16%
75%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KRI
1 - 0
TRO
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
HAU
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |