First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
3º
21
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 48 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 6
VIE
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SWB
3 - 2
VIE
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VIE
3 - 1
RAP
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
2 - 1
SKN
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 3
SVS
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
VOI
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
STU
3 - 0
SVS
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
0 - 0
STU
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
STU
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
3 - 1
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |