Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
First Vienna vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
STR
1 - 1
VIE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1989 |
VIE
4 - 1
VOR
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
RBS
0 - 0
VIE
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1989 |
VIE
1 - 0
KRE
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
VIE
3 - 0
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
PAN
2 - 2
OLP
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
OLP
3 - 0
XAN
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
OLY
3 - 0
OLP
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
OLP
2 - 0
RAD
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
OLP
3 - 0
ION
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |