Victoriano Arenas vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
JUU
0 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 0
LUG
50%
26%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
ARR
42%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 1
VIC
50%
25%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
YUP
50%
26%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
LUG
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 2
ALE
46%
26%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
DPA
1 - 2
ALE
48%
27%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
CBA
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
MUÑ
1 - 4
ALE
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |