Vicenza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
PES
2 - 1
VIC
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 0
LEC
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 1
NOV
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
ATL
3 - 1
LEC
51%
27%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 1
PES
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 0
LEC
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 0
COM
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |