Vicenza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
VIC
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
VIC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
CRO
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 1
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAD
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 2
ABN
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
EMP
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |