Vianense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
10º
10º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VIA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIA
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
VIA
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
VIA
55%
24%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
LUS
18%
27%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AVE
2 - 1
VAR
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEN
13%
18%
68%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 1
VAR
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |