VfR Neumunster vs SpVg Eidertal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
21
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 0
VFR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
ECK
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HOH
3 - 2
VFR
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PRR
1 - 2
VFR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 1
EIC
12%
20%
68%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
SpVg Eidertal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
PRR
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EIC
6 - 0
SVE
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
5 - 1
DOR
53%
20%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
EUT
4 - 1
SVE
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
0 - 2
KIL
18%
18%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |