VfL Vichttal vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
16º
14º
19
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Vichttal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
VFL
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 4
TWE
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 1
VFL
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 3
SCF
56%
21%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
H05
3 - 0
VFL
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
BER
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 0
PES
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PES
1 - 2
FVE
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 4
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PES
1 - 1
HUR
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |