VfL Osnabrück vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FSV
1 - 0
OSN
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 3
M05
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SCF
4 - 1
OSN
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 2
STP
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
OSN
1 - 1
MSV
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
AAA
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
KAI
2 - 0
ING
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
ROT
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SGF
6 - 1
ING
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
TUS
0 - 1
ING
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |