Oberliga NRW round 3

Speldorf vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis

Speldorf Bergisch Gladbach
36 ELO 25
-1.2% Tilt -5.2%
10745º General ELO ranking 5939º
507º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Speldorf
20.4%
Draw
15.1%
Bergisch Gladbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
Speldorf
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
Bergisch Gladbach
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Speldorf
-10%
-37%
Bergisch Gladbach

ELO progression

Speldorf
Bergisch Gladbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Speldorf
Speldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2010
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
3 - 3
Speldorf
SPE
24%
24%
52%
36 20 16 0
15 Aug. 2010
SPE
Speldorf
2 - 2
Schermbeck
SCH
47%
25%
28%
36 35 1 0
30 May. 2010
SPE
Speldorf
2 - 2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
34%
26%
40%
36 40 4 0
24 May. 2010
SPE
Speldorf
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
50%
23%
27%
36 32 4 0
16 May. 2010
ESS
Rot-Weiss Essen II
1 - 0
Speldorf
SPE
48%
24%
28%
36 36 0 0

Matches

Bergisch Gladbach
Bergisch Gladbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2010
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
2 - 3
Wegberg-Beeck
WEG
76%
16%
8%
27 15 12 0
15 Aug. 2010
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
1 - 0
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
55%
23%
21%
28 32 4 -1
30 May. 2010
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
3 - 2
Westfalia Herne
WHE
26%
25%
49%
26 33 7 +2
24 May. 2010
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 - 0
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
72%
18%
10%
26 44 18 0
15 May. 2010
GEW
Germania Windeck
2 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
69%
19%
12%
27 40 13 -1