Marburg vs Klein-Karben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
FUL
6 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 1
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FSV
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MAR
9 - 2
EWM
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAU
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Klein-Karben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
KKA
3 - 1
FVB
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 2
KKA
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
KKA
3 - 0
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 1
KKA
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SCN
1 - 3
KKA
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |