Homberg vs Germania Ratingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
KFI
2 - 2
VFB
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 0
VFB
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 1
KAP
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VFB
1 - 0
SWE
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Ratingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
KAP
2 - 3
GRA
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 2
DUS
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
KFC
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
VEL
34%
23%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
CRO
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |