Homberg vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 0
VFB
47%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
VFB
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 1
KFC
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VFB
2 - 1
ERN
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 2
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 1
RWA
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 3
BER
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BER
2 - 3
KFC
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |