Vere Phoenix United vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
14º
13º
7
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 76 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 68 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 68 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 67 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 63 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 63 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 58 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 53 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 45 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 42 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 40 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 37 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere Phoenix United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
VER
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 1
VER
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VER
3 - 0
DFC
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
VER
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAV
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
MOL
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
RUF
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |