Vere Phoenix United vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
14º
14º
27
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere Phoenix United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
VER
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 1
VER
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VER
3 - 0
DFC
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
VER
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAV
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
MOL
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
RUF
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |