Venezia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
VNZ
4 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
TRE
2 - 0
VNZ
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
VNZ
1 - 1
SPE
59%
20%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SER
0 - 0
VNZ
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VNZ
0 - 1
SPA
33%
23%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 3
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPA
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 1
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |