Venezia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VNZ
0 - 2
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
BAR
2 - 1
VNZ
28%
24%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIC
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 3
LIV
60%
19%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 2
LIV
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |