Vélez CF vs Español de Alquián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+946%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
VEL
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
LOJ
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
VEL
49%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RON
0 - 0
VEL
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALQ
5 - 2
VIL
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UDS
1 - 1
ALQ
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALQ
2 - 0
MOL
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 1
ALQ
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALQ
4 - 0
HUE
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |