Velež Mostar vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
9º
3º
22
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
TMS
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
POS
71%
17%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
IGM
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
POS
2 - 1
VEL
25%
29%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 5
SAR
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 1
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ZEL
0 - 1
ZBE
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NPA
1 - 1
ZBE
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 2
ZBE
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ZBE
4 - 0
SLO
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |