Velež Mostar vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
6º
37
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 0
VEL
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIR
0 - 0
VEL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
IGM
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 0
VEL
13%
25%
62%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZEL
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 1
LEO
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 0
POS
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
4 - 2
SLO
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 5
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |