Velbert vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 1
VEL
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
DOR
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
VEL
42%
23%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
VEL
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 1
ERN
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 3
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 2
BER
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 2
AAA
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 1
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |