Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
HUL
1 - 0
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 0
VEL
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
3 - 3
KÖL
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GEW
2 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
WHE
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MSV
2 - 0
SCH
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 3
MSV
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 3
HAM
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 2
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
0 - 0
ABI
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |