VCD Athletic vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 0
VCD
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
VCD
0 - 1
CAN
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HEN
3 - 1
VCD
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BIL
1 - 1
VCD
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VCD
1 - 3
MER
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 2
BUR
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
4 - 2
MET
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEA
3 - 2
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 1
WIN
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |