Vatan Sport vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
47.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
9º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 0
VAT
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
BTN
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
VAT
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
2 - 1
LEH
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 1
VAT
81%
12%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 2
OSC
49%
20%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WER
0 - 6
OBE
11%
15%
75%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 2
GEE
60%
18%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
10 - 0
WOL
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGA
4 - 1
OBE
41%
21%
39%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |