Vasco da Gama vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
COR
1 - 3
VAS
13%
20%
67%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
VAS
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
VAS
5 - 1
COR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 2
VAS
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRI
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
POR
5 - 5
FFL
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
BOT
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SER
0 - 1
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
POR
2 - 0
VOL
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |