Segunda Liga round 15

Varzim vs Real Sport Clube analysis

Varzim Real Sport Clube
57 ELO 53
-18.3% Tilt -9.3%
4521º General ELO ranking 8881º
69º Country ELO ranking 197º
ELO win probability
46.8%
Varzim
27.9%
Draw
25.2%
Real Sport Clube

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
Varzim
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.2%
Win probability
Real Sport Clube
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Varzim
Real Sport Clube
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2017
ACV
Academico Viseu
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
55%
25%
20%
56 62 6 0
12 Nov. 2017
VAR
Varzim
3 - 1
União Madeira
UNM
29%
29%
42%
55 62 7 +1
05 Nov. 2017
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
28%
29%
43%
55 63 8 0
01 Nov. 2017
BRA
Sporting Braga II
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
58%
23%
19%
55 58 3 0
29 Oct. 2017
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Nacional
NAC
24%
26%
50%
55 63 8 0

Matches

Real Sport Clube
Real Sport Clube
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2017
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 0
Real Sport Clube
REA
60%
24%
16%
53 63 10 0
05 Nov. 2017
REA
Real Sport Clube
0 - 1
Academico Viseu
ACV
32%
28%
40%
54 61 7 -1
01 Nov. 2017
POR
Porto II
3 - 1
Real Sport Clube
REA
65%
21%
14%
54 62 8 0
28 Oct. 2017
REA
Real Sport Clube
1 - 3
Sporting Braga II
BRA
42%
28%
30%
56 57 1 -2
21 Oct. 2017
OLI
UD Oliveirense
1 - 1
Real Sport Clube
REA
43%
26%
31%
57 54 3 -1