Varzim vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 0
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 0
UFT
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 2
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
BOA
3 - 2
LEX
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 0
LEX
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
5 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |