Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPB
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 2
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
EST
2 - 1
FEI
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |