CD Varea vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
7º
3º
5
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 88 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 78 |
2º
|
72% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 65 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 61 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 61 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 57 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 42 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 40 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 35 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 19 |
18º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
80.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 4
OYO
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAX
3 - 0
VAR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
ARN
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 2
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
CDC
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
12%
16%
71%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
7 - 1
CAS
48%
23%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 5
UDL
20%
22%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
7 - 1
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
COM
78%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |