Varde vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
81.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
KRA
2 - 4
VAR
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
OFA
2 - 0
VAR
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
HOJ
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 3
VAR
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BIF
2 - 0
ACH
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAB
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FCK
1 - 1
ACH
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
ACH
1 - 0
SIF
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
OBK
1 - 0
ACH
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |