FK Vardar vs Rabotnički analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
12º
11º
25
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 41 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 41 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 30 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 26 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 19 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
58% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIK
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BES
2 - 1
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 4
FCS
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
SIL
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 0
GOS
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 2
RAB
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 1
SHK
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
RAB
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
AKP
52%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |