FK Vardar vs Rabotnički analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
12º
12º
25
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 39 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 38 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 38 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 37 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 26 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 22 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 20 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 16 |
12º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIK
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BES
2 - 1
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 4
FCS
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
SIL
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 0
GOS
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 2
RAB
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 1
SHK
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
RAB
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
AKP
52%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |