FK Vardar vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
28
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 1
SAS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
KOL
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 2
FUS
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
MET
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIK
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BRE
3 - 0
KGE
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRE
5 - 1
DUB
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 5
BRE
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
DEP
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |