Vard vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AIL
2 - 2
VAR
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
FFC
2 - 2
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 1
LEV
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SSK
0 - 2
VAR
20%
23%
58%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
EGE
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
HIF
1 - 5
NOT
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
FRA
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
ROS
0 - 2
NOT
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 2
FKA
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
KJE
3 - 2
NOT
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |