J3 League round 5

Vanraure Hachinohe vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis

Vanraure Hachinohe Giravanz Kitakyushu
51 ELO 51
-6.1% Tilt -9.1%
3087º General ELO ranking 3317º
54º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Vanraure Hachinohe
26.2%
Draw
34.8%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Vanraure Hachinohe
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.9%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vanraure Hachinohe
+5%
+20%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Points and table prediction

Vanraure Hachinohe
Their league position
Giravanz Kitakyushu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
15º
31
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ehime
73
73
100%
Kagoshima United
62
62
0%
Kataller Toyama
60
62
0%
Imabari
59
59
100%
Nara Club
57
57
100%
Gainare Tottori
56
56
0%
Vanraure Hachinohe
56
56
0%
Gifu
54
54
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
54
54
100%
Grulla Morioka
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Osaka
11º
53
53
11º
100%
YSCC
12º
53
52
12º
100%
Azul Claro Numazu
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
14º
50
50
14º
100%
Fukushima United
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Ryūkyū
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Sagamihara
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vanraure Hachinohe
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Vanraure Hachinohe
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vanraure Hachinohe
Vanraure Hachinohe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
1 - 0
Gifu
GIF
41%
26%
33%
50 50 0 0
18 Mar. 2023
AZU
Azul Claro Numazu
0 - 1
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
30%
27%
43%
50 46 4 0
12 Mar. 2023
NAR
Nara Club
1 - 1
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
49%
27%
24%
50 55 5 0
04 Mar. 2023
RYK
Ryūkyū
1 - 0
Vanraure Hachinohe
VAN
56%
23%
21%
50 54 4 0
20 Nov. 2022
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
2 - 1
Imabari
FCI
20%
25%
55%
49 60 11 +1

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 - 1
Imabari
FCI
22%
26%
52%
51 60 9 0
19 Mar. 2023
KAT
Kataller Toyama
3 - 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
56%
23%
21%
52 57 5 -1
12 Mar. 2023
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 - 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
KAM
57%
25%
19%
51 45 6 +1
05 Mar. 2023
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 1
Gifu
GIF
45%
26%
29%
51 48 3 0
20 Nov. 2022
GIF
Gifu
1 - 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
43%
25%
32%
50 49 1 +1