Vannes vs Stade Rennais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
14º
6º
14
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 52 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 52 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 44 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 43 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 32 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 30 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 30 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 29 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 23 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 22 |
14º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 0
VAN
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 2
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 1
VAN
24%
21%
56%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 2
USF
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
USF
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
STA
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
USF
2 - 3
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |