Vannes vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
16º
15º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
POI
2 - 1
VAN
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
BLO
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PLO
0 - 0
VAN
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
3 - 1
STA
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
ASB
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 2
RAC
16%
22%
63%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCR
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCR
1 - 1
VOL
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STP
3 - 2
FCR
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
FCR
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |