Valmiera FC vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
3º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
RIG
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 4
AUD
24%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
AUD
24%
23%
53%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |