1. Liga round 22

Valmiera II vs JDFS Alberts analysis

Valmiera II JDFS Alberts
53 ELO 58
12% Tilt 14.5%
3451º General ELO ranking 2206º
16º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
42.2%
Valmiera II
26.2%
Draw
31.6%
JDFS Alberts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
Valmiera II
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.6%
Win probability
JDFS Alberts
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valmiera II
-28%
-12%
JDFS Alberts

Points and table prediction

Valmiera II
Their league position
JDFS Alberts
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
10º
47
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Grobiņa
66
66
100%
Riga FC II
64
64
100%
Skanstes
59
59
100%
JDFS Alberts
47
47
100%
Saldus SS/Leevon
40
40
100%
Rigas FS II
37
37
100%
FK Beitar
35
35
100%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
33
33
100%
JFK Ventspils
30
30
100%
Valmiera II
10º
28
28
10º
100%
AFA Olaine
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Smiltene
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Rezekne
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Valmiera II
JDFS Alberts
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Valmiera II
JDFS Alberts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valmiera II
Valmiera II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2023
RIG
Rigas FS II
2 - 2
Valmiera II
VAL
41%
24%
36%
53 51 2 0
23 Sep. 2023
KFV
JFK Ventspils
0 - 0
Valmiera II
VAL
7%
15%
79%
53 19 34 0
16 Sep. 2023
VAL
Valmiera II
0 - 2
Grobiņa
GRO
34%
24%
42%
54 59 5 -1
09 Sep. 2023
FKB
FK Beitar
2 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
13%
18%
69%
54 32 22 0
03 Sep. 2023
RIG
Riga FC II
3 - 1
Valmiera II
VAL
59%
22%
20%
54 66 12 0

Matches

JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
ALB
JDFS Alberts
2 - 2
Grobiņa
GRO
29%
24%
47%
57 60 3 0
24 Sep. 2023
RIG
Riga FC II
3 - 0
JDFS Alberts
ALB
61%
22%
17%
57 67 10 0
17 Sep. 2023
ALB
JDFS Alberts
1 - 1
Rezekne
RFA
78%
15%
7%
57 34 23 0
02 Sep. 2023
FKB
FK Beitar
1 - 0
JDFS Alberts
ALB
18%
22%
60%
58 31 27 -1
26 Aug. 2023
ALB
JDFS Alberts
0 - 4
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
DRS
76%
16%
8%
58 33 25 0