Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Valletta FC vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
HAM
2 - 1
VAL
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 2
TAR
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SAI
3 - 1
VAL
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
3 - 3
BIR
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GZI
1 - 1
VAL
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 1
FOL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
TPE
2 - 2
FOL
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 0
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
6 - 1
SGI
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |